Keeping Up-to-Date with Bayes
Dr. Kristin Duncan
San Diego State University
The Department of Mathematics at the University of Dayton presents
Undergraduate Mathematics Day
Saturday, November 7, 2009
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Keeping Up-to-Date with Bayes Dr. Kristin Duncan San Diego State University
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Abstract: Bayes’ theorem, a rule for
updating probabilities as new information is obtained, may be over two centuries
old but it has been the driving force behind many of the most significant recent
advances in statistics and other sciences. In this talk we will review Bayes’
theorem and the evolution of Bayesian inference. The talk will touch on the
philosophical differences between Bayesians and frequentists which caused
controversy and heated debate in the statistics community for years. We will
illustrate how Bayesian methods can be applied to analyzing criminal evidence,
determining the best way to conduct clinical trials, and developing more useful
software.
About the speaker:
Dr. Duncan, who received her B.S. (1999) from the University of
Dayton and her Ph.D. (2004) from The Ohio State University is a faculty member
in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at San Diego State University.
Her research interests are in Bayesian models, item response models, and survey
methodology.