The Wall Street Journal

April 1, 2005

TRACKING THE NUMBERS
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Outside Audit
Probe of AIG Hits On
More Potential Problems

By IAN MCDONALD and THEO FRANCIS
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
April 1, 2005; Page C1

Authorities are taking a deeper look at accounting at American International Group Inc. -- going beyond transactions that AIG already has admitted were improper -- to examine actions the company may have taken to polish performance measures closely watched by insurance-industry investors, people familiar with the matter say.

AIG admitted Wednesday that it used questionable deals with two different offshore reinsurers with which it had undisclosed ties to bolster its financial statements, and authorities are investigating whether AIG had similar ties to other reinsurers.

Now regulators also are scouring deals to determine whether AIG improperly capped its underwriting "loss ratio," which reflects the percentage of each premium dollar that an insurer pays in claims, the people familiar with the matter say. Regulators also want to know if any transactions were used to artificially bolster AIG's surplus capital. The amount of insurance that an insurer can sell is generally defined by its surplus capital under state insurance-department guidelines.

[nowides] INSURANCE DISRUPTION
[AIG]  Page One: SEC Brings New Federal Oversight to Insurance1
04/01/05
 
 Tracking the Numbers: AIG Revelations May Not Be Over2
04/01/05
 
 AIG's Admission Puts Spotlight on Auditor PWC3
04/01/05
 
 Page One: AIG Admits 'Improper' Accounting4
03/31/05
 
 Page One: Buffett Was Told Ahead of Time of Deal With AIG5
03/30/05
 
 Page One: Buffett Is Called for Questioning on AIG6
03/29/05
 
MORE
 AIG's press release on delay of annual report7
 
 Timeline: A Rock in the Insurance Industry8
 
 See a timeline of key AIG events9.
 

An AIG spokesman declined to comment on the investigations.

Meanwhile, another company yesterday said it was the focus of a separate inquiry into its own dealings with offshore entities. MBIA Inc., a big U.S. bond insurer, said it had received fresh subpoenas from the Securities and Exchange Commission and New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer seeking information about the company's ties to an offshore reinsurance company that it partly owns. Last month, MBIA, of Armonk, N.Y., said it would restate more than six years of financial statements because it wrongly booked a complex reinsurance transaction in 1998. Insurers buy reinsurance to spread their own risks.

MBIA said it was asked by the SEC and Mr. Spitzer's office for more than four years of records detailing its accounting for various aspects of the insurance policies it sells, as well as its transactions with a Bermuda company it helped establish last year. MBIA owns a 17.4% stake in Bermuda reinsurer Channel Reinsurance Ltd. MBIA officials said the company helped establish Channel Re to gain access to a triple-A-rated reinsurer, and that the policies it buys from Channel Re are traditional reinsurance, not the nontraditional type that are under regulatory scrutiny.

MBIA said the subpoenas also asked about the company's purchase of so-called credit-default protection on itself. The "credit-default swap" market allows investors to buy insurance against defaults by bond issuers. MBIA said it is cooperating with the authorities.

[Bonded]

At AIG, meanwhile, executives in the company's corporate-finance department, which oversees the drafting of the company's financial statements, will likely be a focus for investigators, the people said. Criminal charges, if any, are most likely for AIG staffers who intentionally misled New York and Pennsylvania insurance regulators in recent weeks when they asked questions about AIG's accounting for transactions with the two offshore reinsurers with which AIG Wednesday acknowledged Wednesday having previously undisclosed ties, Union Excess Reinsurance Co. and Richmond Insurance Co.

And other accounting issues already detailed by AIG in its Wednesday release -- for instance, including possibly wrongly boosting net investment income, another item closely watched by investors -- have led regulators to wonder whether current AIG executives were aware of these improprieties. Some institutional investors said they have been assured by the company that there are no indications suggesting newly appointed Chief Executive Martin Sullivan will be implicated in any wrongdoing.

Some Wall Street analysts braced for more bad news at AIG. Problems identified so far are primarily in the company's accounting for its U.S. units, where transparency is highest, rather than overseas, where less disclosure is often required, cautioned Alain Karaoglan, an insurance analyst with Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Profit margins for the company's foreign life-insurance business "have been very strong -- maybe too strong," Mr. Karaoglan wrote.

The AIG probes began with scrutiny last year by the SEC and Mr. Spitzer of a transaction in 2000-01 between AIG and Berkshire Hathaway Inc. that had been initiated by Maurice R. Greenberg, AIG's chief executive for nearly four decades until the mounting scrutiny prompted his retirement two weeks ago. Mr. Greenberg since has said he will leave his post as chairman of the company. Three senior AIG executives, including the company's chief financial officer, have been dismissed after refusing to answer investigators' questions, exercising their Fifth Amendment rights to avoid incriminating themselves.

Write to Ian McDonald at ian.mcdonald@wsj.com10 and Theo Francis at theo.francis@wsj.com11

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