| VI. THE FALL OF AFFIRMATIVE ACTION: RESEGREGATION AT PUBLIC
LAW SCHOOLS
National data regarding law school admissions trends must be placed in
the proper context by analyzing a salient feature of the current
landscape: the impact that affirmative action bans have had on public law
schools. Commentators addressing affirmative action can be deservedly
criticized for relying on selective data rather than larger samples
including several schools and several years. Similarly, in "reverse
discrimination" suits challenging race-conscious admissions programs,
courts have made problematic factual findings about the consequences of
ending affirmative action. For example, in Grutter v. Bollinger, the
district court rejected the defendant intervenors' argument that ending
affirmative action would result in resegregation at the University of
Michigan Law School. The court noted its "sincere hope that such
consequences can be avoided," and the court based its speculation on
an apples-to-oranges comparison with the UC Berkeley Graduate School of
Education and the undergraduate campuses in the UC system, which vary
considerably in their selectivity.
Compounding the problem in Grutter, in January 2003, the Bush
Administration filed an amicus brief with the Supreme Court in support of
the White plaintiffs in which it argued that the University of Michigan
Law School's affirmative action policy was unconstitutional because there
are ample race-neutral alternatives that will yield comparable levels of
racial and ethnic diversity. Shockingly, the Bush administration assured
the Court there were "ample" alternatives, while at the same
time, it failed to discuss what happened when affirmative action was ended
at law schools in California and Texas that are comparable to the
University of Michigan Law School. Clearly, a more systematic analysis of
the impact of affirmative action bans on legal education is needed.
As mentioned above, the Supreme Court will issue a ruling in Grutter v.
Bollinger in the early summer of 2003, which will affect affirmative
action plans at public and private universities and colleges across the
nation. As it stands, affirmative action in higher education is under
greater threat today than at any time since Bakke. In the wake of the
Fifth Circuit's decision in Hopwood v. Texas, California's Proposition
209, the University of California Regents' SP-1 Resolution, Washington's
1-200 Initiative, and the "One Florida" plan, a substantial
number of America's leading public law schools terminated race-sensitive
affirmative action in recent years.
Ending race-sensitive admissions at public law schools in California,
Texas, and Washington has had significant negative consequences for
African Americans, Latinos, and American Indians. The first prohibition on
affirmative action occurred when the UC Regents approved SP-1 in July
1995, which ended race- conscious admissions at the graduate and
professional levels beginning on January 1, 1997, and the undergraduate
level ne year later. This was followed up with Proposition 209, a November
1996 voter-backed amendment to the California Constitution that took
effect in January of 1998. In the 1996 case of Hopwood v. Texas, a
challenge to the affirmative action program at the University of Texas Law
School, the Fifth Circuit ruled that diversity (i.e., the educational
benefits that flow from having racially diverse learning environments) was
not a compelling governmental interest. This ruling had the effect of
prohibiting race-conscious admissions at public and private higher
educational institutions in Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.
Washington voters passed Initiative 200, a ballot initiative with
wording identical to Proposition 209, in November 1998. Finally, the
"One Florida" plan, adopted in November 1999 by Governor Jeb
Bush's executive order, discontinued race-conscious affirmative action in
the Florida public university system beginning in 2000 at the
undergraduate level and in 2001 at the graduate and professional levels.
Although the "One Florida" plan grants students who graduate in
the top twenty percent of their high school class a spot in at least one
public university, there is no analogous admissions plan for law, medical,
business, and graduate schools.
UC Berkeley (Boalt Hall), UCLA, UC Davis, the University of Texas (UT),
and the University of Washington (UW) have been greatly impacted by the
end of affirmative action. The law schools at the University of Florida
and Florida State University are not discussed here because the One
Florida Plan only took effect for the entering class of 2001 and because
Florida still has race- conscious financial aid. For Boalt Hall, UCLA, C
Davis, and UT, the admissions data include the five years after Prop.
209/SP-1 and Hopwood (1997-2001), which are compared to the four years
before the ban on affirmative action from 1993 to 1996. For UW, the three
post-Initiative 200 admissions cycles (1999-2001) are compared to the
admissions cycles for the last three years with affirmative action
(1996-1998).
Tables 4 and 5 and Chart 7 compare the number of enrolled first-year
African Americans in the years before and after affirmative action was
prohibited. Total enrollments for each class are included in parentheses
to account for fluctuations in enrollment totals over time. The data
reveal a precipitous drop in African American enrollments after
affirmative action was banned. Across the five schools, African Americans
were 6.65% of enrollments with affirmative action, but 2.25% of
enrollments without affirmative action. In effect, the clock was turned
back on three decades of affirmative action in California. At Boalt Hall,
African Americans were 2.7% of enrollments from 1997 to 2001. By
comparison, Blacks were 9.0% of enrollments in the first five years in
which affirmative action took full effect (1968-1972). Likewise, African
Americans were 7.5% of enrollments at UCLA in the first five years of
affirmative action (1967-1971) but only 2.3% of enrollments thirty years
later (1997-2001). The University of Texas came full circle as well, as a
half- century of hard-fought yet halting progress was erased. In 1951,
Heman Sweatt and the five other African American entrants to the first
post-de jure segregation class at UT constituted 2.1% of enrollments.
African Americans were a nearly identical proportion of enrollments (2.2%)
at UT in 1997-2001. The extent to which Boalt, UCLA, and UT became
resegregated is particularly disheartening in light of the recent history
of those institutions. Boalt Hall and UCLA combined to award nearly 600
law degrees to African Americans between 1987 and 1997, and UT produced
some 650 Black attorneys prior to Hopwood. It should also be noted that
African Americans were 11.1% of the national applicant pool from 1993 to
1996 and a slightly higher 11.4% from 1997 to 2000.
|
Table 4: African American Enrollments at
Selective Public Law Schools Before Affirmative Action Was
Prohibited |
|
YEAR |
BOALT |
UCLA |
DAVIS |
U.TEXAS |
U.WASH. |
|
1993 |
21(269) |
20(340) |
5(160) |
31(556) |
- |
|
1994 |
31(269) |
46(335) |
10(153) |
37(568) |
- |
|
1995 |
21(266) |
20(272) |
3(136) |
36(509) |
- |
|
1996 |
20(263) |
19(307) |
4(152) |
29(500) |
6(172) |
|
1997 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3(166) |
|
1998 |
- |
- |
- |
8(173) |
- |
|
Avg. |
23.3(266.8) |
26.3(313.5) |
5.5(150.3) |
33.3(533.3) |
5.7(170.3) |
|
|
|
Table 5: African American Enrollments at Selective Public
Law Schools after Affirmative Action Was Prohibited |
|
YEAR |
BOALT |
UCLA |
DAVIS |
U.TEXAS |
U.WASH. |
|
1997 |
1(268) |
10(381) |
5(172) |
4(464) |
- |
|
1998 |
8(269) |
8(277) |
3(183) |
9(489) |
- |
|
1999 |
7(269) |
3(289) |
6(161) |
9(519) |
2(158) |
|
2000 |
7(270) |
5(305) |
2(168) |
17(518) |
1(163) |
|
2001 |
14(299) |
10(304) |
4(214) |
16(527) |
3(177) |
|
Avg. |
7.4(275) |
7.2(311) |
4.0(179.6) |
11.0(503.4) |
2.0(166) |
|
CHART 7 TABULAR OR GRAPHIC MATERIAL SET FORTH AT THIS POINT IS NOT
DISPLAYABLE
Tables 6 and 7 and Chart 8 compare the number of enrolled first-year
Latinos in the years before and after affirmative action was prohibited.
Based on the combined data from the five schools, Latinos were 11.8% of
enrollments with affirmative action, but 7.4% of enrollments without
affirmative action. There was a substantial 47% drop in the proportion of
enrollments at Boalt and UCLA combined. The impact at the University of
Texas was more modest, which is partly a reflection of the fact that
Texas's pre-Hopwood affirmative action program included Chicanos but not
other Latinos. The real drop in Latino enrollments is actually understated
by Chart 8 insofar as Latinos were 7.1% of the national applicant pool
from 1993 to 1996, compared to 8.3% from 1997 to 2000, an increase of 15%.
As with African Americans, for Latinos, the clock was also turned back
on three decades of affirmative action. At Boalt Hall, Latinos were 6.4%
of enrollments from 1997 to 2001, a smaller figure than the 7.3% of
enrollments in the first five years in which affirmative action took full
effect (1968-1972). To give these figures added context, Boalt Hall and
UCLA together awarded over 800 law degrees to Latinos between 1987 and
1997, and UT was the top Chicano feeder law school in the nation,
producing over 1300 Chicano attorneys prior to Hopwood.
TABLE 6: LATINO ENROLLMENTS AT ELITE PUBLIC LAW SCHOOLS BEFORE
AFFIRMATIVE ACTION WAS PROHIBITED
TABLE 7: LATINO ENROLLMENTS AT ELITE PUBLIC LAW SCHOOLS AFTER
AFFIRMATIVE ACTION WAS PROHIBITED
CHART 8 TABULAR OR GRAPHIC MATERIAL SET FORTH AT THIS POINT IS NOT
DISPLAYABLE
The analysis of American Indian enrollment patterns is less detailed
because the samples are so small, and therefore, trends at a single law
school are potentially misleading. In addition, the University of Texas is
excluded because it did not include American Indians in its pre-Hopwood
affirmative action policy. Combining Boalt, UCLA, and UC Davis statistics
from 1993 to 1996 with Washington statistics from 1996 to 1998, American
Indians were 1.4% of enrollments with affirmative action in place. At
Boalt, UCLA, and UC Davis from 1997 to 2001 and Washington from 1999 to
2001, American Indians were 0.81% of enrollments, a drop of 42% in the
wake of Prop. 209/SP-1 and I-200. An average of ten American Indians
enrolled annually at Boalt, UCLA, and UC Davis combined from 1993 to 1996,
compared to five per year from 1997 to 2001. For historical context, Boalt,
UCLA, and UC Davis combined to enroll twelve American Indians in 1972 and
ten in 1973. Boalt alone had eight American Indian first-year students in
1972 after they were added to its affirmative action plan.
Recent data in Table 5 indicate that African American enrollments were
somewhat better in 2000 and 2001 than they were from 1997 to 1999. On the
other hand, the consequences of banning affirmative action at the
undergraduate level are only now beginning to unfold. This is particularly
troublesome since nationwide, the top five producers of applicants to law
school over the five most recent admissions cycles (1996-1997 to
2000-2001) are UCLA (4468 applicants), UC Berkeley (4314), University of
Michigan-Ann Arbor (4094), University of Texas-Austin (4083), and the
University of Florida (3916).
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